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Tuesday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Retreats To 3-Week Lows On Monday Due to Mild Late October Outlook & Recovering Production, Even As LNG Exports Tap New Highs; UNG Completes Monthly Rollover; Gas Demand To Fall Today As East Moderates
Tuesday, October 20, 2026
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Natural gas prices retreated for a second straight session on Monday to open the week on a bearish note. The front-month November 2026 contract slid 6 cents or 1.9% to settle at $3.06/MMBTU, the lowest close since October 2. Among ETFs, 1x UNG also shed -1.9% while 2x BOIL lost a lesser -1.3%. UNG completed its monthly rollover and now holds exclusively December 2026 contracts while BOIL rolled into less volatile T+2 January 2027 contracts earlier this month, which explains its more modest loss. Outside of buying futures contracts, it is no longer possible for retail traders to gain exposure to the front-month contract.
As discussed in yesterday’s Commentary, I do feel that yesterday’s losses were driven primarily by a relatively bearish near-term temperature outlook. Daily Gas-Weighted Degree Days (GWDDs) remain at or below average into the first week of November. 14-day accumulated GWDDs are a full 30 GWDDs fewer than the 5-year average.
Additionally, however, I feel...
Continue Reading Full Article (FOR SUBSCRIBERS)...
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