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Tuesday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Rises For A Fifth Straight Week, But Prices Are Approaching My Upside Target; Late-Summer Heat To Linger Through Mid-Month With More Seasonable Conditions Thereafter; Gas Demand To Rise Today As East Coast Warms
Tuesday, September 8, 2026
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.
Natural gas prices rose on Friday to enter the Holiday Weekend on a positive note. The front-month October 2026 contract rose by 6 cents or 2.1% to settle at $2.98/MMBTU. It was the highest settlement since July 9. ETFs underperformed due to some selling after the 2:30 PM ET close of floor trading. 1x UNG added a modest 0.7% while 2x BOIL rose +1.3%. On the week, the front-month contract finished up +3.0%, a fifth straight weekly gain.
Gas prices have found support over the past month courtesy of consistent late-Summer heat, especially across the Central US. This has driven the year-over-year storage deficit above -100 BCF over the weekend and will see the surplus versus the 5-year average drop under +100 BCF by the middle of this week, half the mid-Summer maximum. However, this tailwind could be soon be coming to an end. The heat will continue for the next 7-10 days, supporting above-average Gas-Weighted Degree Days (GWDDs), as shown in the Figure to the right, but by Septembe...
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