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As Celsius Energy continues to grow, costs and the time commitment to keep the site maintained build rapidly. For this reason, I am offering premium features for a small monthly fee to help support the site. These include:
-Daily Commentaries, a 1000-1500 word 5x per week discussion of natural gas fundamentals, trading outlook and strategies
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Wednesday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Stumbles To One-Month Low After Third Straight Loss On Persistently Mild Late October Temperature Outlook; Natural Gas Undervaluations Widen; Oil Prices Dip On Potential Renewed Pakistan Mediation Efforts; EIA Expected To Announce Another Bullish Isaias-Influenced Petroleum Status Report Today; Gas Demand To Hold Nearly Steady Today
Wednesday, October 21, 2026
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.
Natural gas prices tumbled for a third straight session on Tuesday to breach the $3/MMBTU barrier for the first time in a month. The front-month November 2026 contract slid by 10 cents or 3.1% to settle at $2.96/MMBTU. It was the lowest close since September 21. During its three-session losing streak, prices have dropped by -8.4%. However, due to a sharp post-2:30 PM ET rally, natural gas ETFs outperformed. 1x UNG ultimately closed up +0.4% while 2x BOIL still lost -0.3%. As a reminder, UNG holds T+1 December 2026 contracts while BOIL holds T+2 January 2027 contracts.
The selling pressure continues to be driven primarily by an uninspiring near-term temperature outlook. Gas-Weighted Degree Days (GWDDs) are expected to be rapidly ramping up this time of year with the withdrawal season traditionally set to kick off in less than three weeks. However, as shown in the Figure to the right, 14-day accumulated Gas-Weighted Degree Days (GWDDs) as forecast by both the ECWMF and GFS have b...
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