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Other elements on the site are updated on a minute-to-minute basis, providing Realtime data.
These include:
--> Wind Generation & Natural Gas Demand Displacement ***NEW!***
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As Celsius Energy continues to grow, costs and the time commitment to keep the site maintained build rapidly. For this reason, I am offering premium features for a small monthly fee to help support the site. These include:
-Daily Commentaries, a 1000-1500 word 5x per week discussion of natural gas fundamentals, trading outlook and strategies
-Advanced weather modeling data
-Access to Celsius Energy's oil & natural gas portfolio.
-Daily natural gas supply & demand data
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Wednesday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Extends Losing Streak To Three Days As Temperature Outlook Trends Milder Still; Oil Prices Await Geopolitical Action; EIA Expected To Announce Huge Crude Build In Today’s Petroleum Status Report; Gas Demand To Rise Slightly Today On Ohio Valley Cooldown But Another Bearish Draw Is Expected
Wednesday, February 11, 2026
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.
After trading higher for much of the session, natural gas prices gave up just prior to the close of floor trading to register another small loss. After peaking near $3.20/MMBTU, the front-month March 2026 contract ultimately settled down 2 cents or 0.7% at $3.12/MMBTU. It was a third straight loss and the lowest close since January 16. Among natural gas ETFs, 1x UNG shed -0.3% while 2x BOIL dropped 0.6%. BOIL continues its bimonthly rollover and now holds 60% May 2026 contracts and 40% March 2026 contracts. The rollover will conclude tomorrow.
Natural gas continues to be pressured by an increasingly bearish mid-to-late February temperature outlook. As shown in the Figure to the right, 14-day accumulated Gas-Weighted Degree Days (GWDDs) as forecast by the GFS and ECMWF have continued to relentlessly trend lower, now far below the 5-year average. As of Tuesday evening, my Consensus Model—which integrates a performance-based average of GFS OP, GFS ENS, and ECWMF ENS data—was calli...
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Disclaimer: Natural Gas & Oil Storage Projections, Intraday Natural Gas Stats, Renewable Energy Stats, Morning Reports, and fundamental pricing models are released by Celsius Energy as experimental products. While they are intended to provide accurate, up-to-date data, they should not be used alone in making investment decisions, or decisions of any kind. Celsius Energy does not make an express or implied warranty of any kind regarding the data information including, without limitation, any warranty of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use. See full Privacy Policy HERE.
