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Friday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Rises For Second Session On Thursday After In-Line EIA Storage; Projected End-Of-Season Storage Projection Tops 3900 BCF; Waiting On Temperature For A Buy Signal; First Triple-Digit Storage Injection Of The Season Possible This Week; Gas Demand To Rise Sharply This Weekend As Quick-Hitting Shot Of Colder Air Advances Eastward
Friday, April 17, 2026
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In its weekly Natural Gas Storage Report for April 4-10, the EIA announced Thursday morning that inventories rose by +59 BCF. This was 4 BCF larger than my projection and was 21 BCF bearish versus the 5-year average. On a temperature-adjusted basis, imbalances loosened significantly as the week was partially a holiday week (Good Friday) and averaged 3.9 BCF/day loose or 27 BCF bearish versus the 5-year average. This means that essentially the entirety of the bearishness of the injection was driven by the temporary weakening of fundamentals. With the +59 BCF injection, inventories rose to 1970 BCF while the surplus versus the 5-year average widened to +108 BCF. The year-over-year surplus jumped to +126 BCF. As shown in the figure to the right, storage levels remain at the second highest level for this point in the season in the last 5 years, just above 2023 but far below 2024’s 5-year high.
All five storage regions registered bearish injections, led by the South Central Region,...
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