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Friday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Trades Sideways Despite Better-Than-Expected EIA Storage Report & Hotter Early August Outlook; Can The Storage Surplus Avoid Topping +200 BCF? Gas Demand To Rise Slightly Today; Strongest Demand Week Of The Summer Possible Next Week
Friday, July 24, 2026
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In its weekly Natural Gas Storage Report for January 11-17, the EIA announced Thursday morning that inventories rose by +32 BCF. This was 4 BCF smaller than my +36 BCF projection but was still a slight 2 BCF bearish versus the 5-year average. On a temperature-adjusted basis, the injection averaged 1.7 BCF/day loose, or bearish, versus the 5-year average, similar to the previous week and roughly at the Summer average. With the injection, natural gas inventories rose to 3056 BCF while the surplus versus the 5-year average widened to +183 BCF. The year-over-year deficit, meanwhile, contracted to -16 BCF. As shown in the Figure to the right, storage levels are at the third highest level for the week in the last 5 years, just below last year and well below 2024’s 5-year maximum.
The South Central & East Regions, both of which saw consistently cooler-than-normal temperatures throughout the week, registered the most bearish injections. The South Central saw a +2 BCF injection (5-year ...
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