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Friday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Rallies Despite Disappointing EIA Storage Report; Season-Ending Storage Maximum Now Projected Above 3900 BCF; Oil Prices Surge On Increased Middle East Risk Premium Even As EIA Petroleum Status Report Also Underwhelms; Gas Demand To Retreat Today As Northeast Cools, But Bullish Injections Still Expected This Week And Next
Friday, September 11, 2026
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.
In its weekly Natural Gas Storage Report covering August 29-September 4, the EIA announced Thursday morning that inventories rose by +40 BCF. This was 12 BCF bullish versus the 5-year average but was a steep 10 BCF larger than my +30 BCF projection. On a temperature-adjusted basis, the injection averaged a weak 2.6 BCF/day loose, or bearish, versus the 5-year average. This means that, if imbalances were right at the 5-year average, this injection would have been 18 BCF (2.6 BCF/day x 7 days) smaller, or around +22 BCF. It was the weakest temperature-adjusted Report since early July. The looser imbalance was due to the combination of a 27% week-over-week spike in wind generation as well as near record natural gas production. With the +40 BCF injection, natural gas inventories rose to 3254 BCF while the surplus versus the 5-year average narrowed to +148 BCF. The year-over-year deficit jumped to -79 BCF. As shown in the Figure to the right inventories remain the third highest for the wee...
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