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Tuesday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Emotion Takes Over: Natural Gas Collapses In UNG’s Worst Session On Record As Investors React & Overreact To Evolving February Temperature Outlook; Natural Gas Undervalued Here, But Be Very Careful; Gas Demand To Fall Again Today As Temperatures Moderate Across The East
Tuesday, February 3, 2026
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.
Winter takes no prisoners. After two weeks of misery for the bears, it was time for the bulls to feel the pain on Monday. In an historic trading session, the front-month March 2026 contract plunged $1.12 or 25.7% to settle at $3.24/MMBTU, erasing all of last week’s gains and then some. It was the lowest close since January 16. The 1x ETF UNG tumbled 24.9% which was its largest single-session loss since its inception in 2007, easily topping a -19.1% loss from November 2018, as shown in the Figure to the right. 2x ETF BOIL was crushed to the tune of -50.5%, also its largest single-session loss on record. The ETF will begin its bimonthly rollover later this week, selling March contracts to buy May contracts, which still looks to be a slightly bullish rollover due to the backwardation present between the two contracts. ...
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Disclaimer: Natural Gas & Oil Storage Projections, Intraday Natural Gas Stats, Renewable Energy Stats, Morning Reports, and fundamental pricing models are released by Celsius Energy as experimental products. While they are intended to provide accurate, up-to-date data, they should not be used alone in making investment decisions, or decisions of any kind. Celsius Energy does not make an express or implied warranty of any kind regarding the data information including, without limitation, any warranty of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use. See full Privacy Policy HERE.
