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Tuesday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Prices Tumble On Production Gains & Shoulder Season Temperature Outlook As October Contract Expires With a Whimper; Gas Demand To Fall Slightly Today as Hurricane Polo’s Moisture Tracks Into The Southwest
Tuesday, September 29, 2026
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.
In a volatile session, natural gas prices extended their losses on Monday to open the new week. In low-liquidity trade, the front-month October 2026 contract tumbled 20 cents or 6.1% to settle at $3.00/MMBTU. In the past two sessions alone, the contract is down -9.0%. The October contract expired at the close of trading and will be replaced as the front-month contract beginning today by the November 2026 contract which fell a more modest 12 cents or 3.7% to $3.11/MMBTU. Among ETFs (which hold November contracts), 1x UNG dropped 3.1% while 2x BOIL shed -6.2%.
The selling pressure was driven predominantly by news that TCE Energy had lifted the force majeure on its Mountaineer Express Pipeline, part of the Columbia Gas system, following an outage last week that cut Appalachian output by over 2 BCF/day. As a result, production has recovered by over 1 BCF/day to around 108 BCF/day based on yesterday’s late-cycle data, up +1.8 BCF/day year-over-year as shown in the Figure to the righ...
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Disclaimer: Natural Gas & Oil Storage Projections, Intraday Natural Gas Stats, Renewable Energy Stats, Morning Reports, and fundamental pricing models are released by Celsius Energy as experimental products. While they are intended to provide accurate, up-to-date data, they should not be used alone in making investment decisions, or decisions of any kind. Celsius Energy does not make an express or implied warranty of any kind regarding the data information including, without limitation, any warranty of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use. See full Privacy Policy HERE.
