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Friday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Rises To Fresh One-Month Highs After Better-Than-Expected EIA Storage Report, Hot Temperature Outlook, & Rising LNG Export Demand; Projected End-Of-Season Storage Maximum Drops Below 3900 BCF; Gas Demand To Drop Slightly Today To Wrap up The Week, But Very Strong Demand Likely Next Week As Heat Expands
Friday, August 28, 2026
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In its weekly Natural Gas Storage Report covering August 15-21, the EIA announced Thursday morning that inventories rose by +15 BCF. This was 18 BCF bullish versus the 5-year average and 4 BCF smaller than my +19 BCF projection. It was also the smallest build for the week in the last 5 years, just below last year’s +17 BCF. On a temperature-adjusted basis, the injection averaged 1.2 BCF/day tight, or bullish, versus the 5-year average, the strongest imbalance since late May. This means that, of the 19 BCF of bullishness, roughly 8 BCF was due to fundamentals with the remainder due to supportive temperatures. With the injection, natural gas inventories rose to 3184 BCF while the surplus versus the 5-year average narrowed to +167 BCF. The year-over-year deficit inched upwards to -30 BCF. As shown in the Figure to the right, inventories remain at the third highest level for the week in the last 5 years, just below last year but well below 2024’s 5-year maximum.
Four out of the fiv...
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