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Tuesday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Falters Into The Holiday Weekend To Finish The Week With A Small Loss; Temperature Outlook Increases In Importance As Cooling Season Ramps Up Into Early June; Near-Term Forecast Improves Slightly Over The Weekend But Inverted Weather Pattern Remains Bearish Into Early June; Gas Demand To Rise Slightly Today As Heat Builds Across The Northern Plains
Tuesday, May 26, 2026
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.
Natural gas prices fell sharply on Friday to head into the Holiday weekend on a bearish note. The front-month June 2026 contract fell 11 cents or -3.7% to settle at $2.91/MMBTU, the lowest close since May 14. Among ETFs, 1x UNG fell -3.4% while 2x BOIL shed -6.8%. On the week, the commodity fell slightly, pulling back -1.8%, as losses during the second half of the week more than countered early-week gains. The June 2026 contract will expire at the close of trading tomorrow and will be replaced by the more active July 2026 contract which closed Friday at $3.02/MMBTU.
As we move from May into June, temperature will again start to become a more important driver of natural gas demand and sentiment as the cooling season begins to ramp up. Over the holiday weekend, the near-term temperature outlook did improve slightly, especially during the second half of the weekend. As shown in the Figure to the right, both the GFS and ECWMF models saw their 14-day accumulated Gas-Weighted Degree ...
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