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Tuesday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Profit-Takers Drive Natural Gas Lower On Monday Even As Broader Energy Sector Rises; Near-Term Temperature Outlook Stabilizes While LNG Export Demand Retreats; Gas Demand To Fall Slightly Today As Cooler Temperatures Expand Across The Southeast; Natural Gas Inventories Projected To Flip Back To A Year-Over-Year Deficit Today
Tuesday, June 2, 2026
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.
Natural gas quickly gave up overnight gains Monday morning to log a steep loss yesterday, even as the broader energy sector charged higher. After rising more than 3% in Sunday evening electronic trade alongside oil, the front-month July 2026 contract ultimately settled down 11 cents or 3.4% at $3.18/MMBTU. The loss came on the heals of a more than 8% rally the previous week to a fresh 4-month high. Among ETFs, 1x UNG lost -3.3% while 2x BOIL shed -6.4%.
The recent rally had been driven largely by a steady warming trend in the near-term temperature outlook with forecast 14-day accumulated Gas-Weighted Degree Days (GWDDs) rising from 5-year lows to 5-year highs over the course of the previous week. Yesterday, however, the 14-day outlook as forecast by both the GFS and ECWMF flattened out, as shown in the Figure to the right. Coupled with a retreat in LNG export demand under +17 BCF/day, this may have been enough to induce some profit-taking and the pullback.
As it...
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