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Friday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Tumbles After Triple Digit EIA Storage Report & Milder Temperature Outlook; End-Of-Season Projection Climbs Back Above 3800 BCF; Front-Month Contract Flips Back To Undervaluation Versus Fair Price; Gas Demand To Fall Slightly Today As Cooler Temperatures Expand Across Central US; Gas Demand To Fall Through Early Next Week Before Recovering
Friday, June 12, 2026
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.
In its weekly Natural Gas Storage Report for May 30-June 5, the EIA announced Thursday morning that crude oil inventories rose by +108 BCF. This was 13 BCF bearish versus the 5-year average and was comfortably above my +99 BCF projection. It was also the largest weekly injection so far this season, topping the +103 BCF from April 11-17. On a temperature-adjusted basis, supply/demand imbalances unsurprisingly loosened, averaging -1.7 BCF/day or nearly 12 BCF/week loose, or bearish, versus the 5-year average. This means that nearly the entirety of the week’s 13 BCF of bearishness was due to fundamentals while temperatures were nearly neutral. With the +108 BCF injection, natural gas inventories rose to 2686 BCF while the surplus versus the 5-year average widened to +151 BCF. The year-over-year deficit inched higher to -5 BCF. At 2686 BCF, storage is at the third highest level for this point in the season in the past 5 years, below last year and 2024, as shown in the Figure to the right.<...
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