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Friday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Falls To Fresh 3+ Month Lows After Larger-Than-Expected EIA Storage Report; Gas Prices Cheep, But Searching For A Catalyst; Natural Gas Demand To Rise Slightly Today As Ohio Valley Warms; Gas Demand To Peak Early Next Week Before Temperatures Moderate
Friday, August 7, 2026
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.
In its weekly Natural Gas Storage Report for July 25-31, the EIA announced Thursday morning that inventories rose by +33 BCF. This was 7 BCF larger than my +26 BCF projection and was 10 BCF bearish versus the 5-year average. On a temperature-adjusted basis, supply/demand imbalances weakened and the build averaged 1.2 BCF/day or 8 BCF/week loose, or bearish, versus the 5-year average. This means that 8 BCF out of the week’s 10 BCF of bearishness was due to fundamental factors with only 2 BCF being related to weather. This was due to a combination of higher wind generation and production. With the injection, storage levels rose to 3117 BCF while the surplus versus the 5-year average widened to +195 BCF. The year-over-year deficit stand at just -12 BCF. Inventories remain the third highest for the week in the last 5 years, just below last year and well below 2024’s 5-year maximum though, as the Figure to the right shows, this season is starting to converge towards both this year and 2025....
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Disclaimer: Natural Gas & Oil Storage Projections, Intraday Natural Gas Stats, Renewable Energy Stats, Morning Reports, and fundamental pricing models are released by Celsius Energy as experimental products. While they are intended to provide accurate, up-to-date data, they should not be used alone in making investment decisions, or decisions of any kind. Celsius Energy does not make an express or implied warranty of any kind regarding the data information including, without limitation, any warranty of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use. See full Privacy Policy HERE.
