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Wednesday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Oil & Natural Gas Both Rise On Tuesday Before Collapsing After Hours On Iran Ceasefire Agreement; Near-Term Temperature Outlook Remains Unfriendly To The Bears; EIA Expected To Announce That Oil Inventories Rose To 3-Year Highs In Today’s Petroleum Status Report; Gas Demand To Fall Today As Midwest Warms
Wednesday, April 8, 2026
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.
Natural gas prices rose on Tuesday in conjunction with the broader energy sector—only to sell-off in after-hours action on news of a ceasefire in the Middle East. The front-month May 2026 contract rose by 6 cents or 2.1% to settle at $2.87/MMBTU, a one-week high. ETFs underperformed due to some selling after the 2:30 PM ET close of floor trading with 1x UNG rising +1.6% and 2x BOIL adding +3.0%. Shortly after the 4:00 PM ET market close, news emerged that Iran, the US, and Israel had accepted a 14-day ceasefire that could result in the Strait of Hormuz reopening. In the wake of this news, natural gas prices sold off, giving back Tuesday’s gains and then some to hold near $2.75/MMBTU and multi-month lows as of late Tuesday evening.
Some kneejerk reaction to a possible cessation of hostilities was always in the cards. However, natural gas is facing its own headwinds independent of geopolitics. Namely, the near-term temperature outlook remains just about as bearish as it can get t...
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