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Other elements on the site are updated on a minute-to-minute basis, providing Realtime data.

These include:

--> Wind Generation & Natural Gas Demand Displacement ***NEW!***

--> Intraday Temperature Data

--> Realtime Natural Gas Inventories

--> Oil & Natural Gas Quotes & Fair Price Data

--> Powerburn Demand

--> Celsius Energy Portfolio Holdings (Subscribers)

...Among others.

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As Celsius Energy continues to grow, costs and the time commitment to keep the site maintained build rapidly. For this reason, I am offering premium features for a small monthly fee to help support the site. These include:
-Daily Commentaries, a 1000-1500 word 5x per week discussion of natural gas fundamentals, trading outlook and strategies
-Advanced weather modeling data
-Access to Celsius Energy's oil & natural gas portfolio.
-Daily natural gas supply & demand data

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Friday Daily Commentary For Subscribers


Natural Gas Soars To Fresh 2+ Year Highs Thursday On Bullish EIA Storage Withdrawal, Record LNG exports, And Colder PM Model Runs; Still Waiting For That Pullback, But 2024 This Is Not: The Party Won’t End If The Arctic Air Does; Projected Season-Ending Storage Minimum Falls Below 1700 BCF; Gas Demand To Fall Today And Saturday Before Coldest Air Of The Season Drives Potential -300 BCF Withdrawal Next Week

Chart Of The Day

Chart of the Day: Click here for more information on on natural gas investing.


Friday, January 17, 2025
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.


In its weekly Natural Gas Storage Report for January 4-10, the EIA announced Thursday morning that inventories fell by -258 BCF. This was an impressive 130 BCF bullish versus the 5-year average -128 BCF and was 4 BCF larger than my -254 BCF projection. It was the largest withdrawal for the week in the last 5 years and the 13th largest all-time for any week. On a temperature-adjusted basis, imbalances still averaged 2.5 BCF/day loose versus the 5-year average due largely to weaker powerburn, but this was still much tighter than the previous week’s -4.7 BCF/day loose, a trend which I expect will continue in the weeks to come. With the -258 BCF withdrawal, natural gas inventories tumbled to 3115 BCF while the surplus versus the 5-year average narrowed to just +77 BCF. The year-over-year deficit surged to -111 BCF. In the span of a single week, storage levels fell from a 5-year high to the third lowest level in the last 5 years, above only 2023’s 2820 BCF and 2022’s 2810 BCF, as shown in t...

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Last 3 Daily Commentaries:

Thursday, January 16, 2025
Natural Gas Prices Finally Close Above $4/MMBTU; A Pullback Is Inevitable, But Prices Will Be Supported Long-Term; Oil Rises After Bullish Crude Draw, But WTI Looks Expensive Here; EIA Projected To Announce Very Bullish -254 BCF Withdrawal In Today’s Storage Report, But Watch Out For “Sell-The-News” Action; Gas Demand To Fall Today As Heartland Warms


Wednesday, January 15, 2025
Natural Gas Recovers Early Losses Tuesday As Investors Eye Massive Arctic Outbreak Next Week; Choppy Trading Likely As Forecast Evolves, But Spring Futures Contracts Likely To Find Support; Oil Prices Dip On EIA Supply/Demand Outlook; EIA Expected To Announce Slightly Bullish Crude Drawdown But Bearish Refined Product Builds Today; Gas Demand To Dip Slightly Today On Warmer Plains, But Another Bullish Withdrawal Still Likely


Tuesday, January 14, 2025
Natural Gas Fails To Hold Sunday Gap-Up After Lower LNG Volumes And Potential Late January Warm-Up, But Losses Are Concentrated In Overvalued Front-Month; Pullback Overdue, But It Won’t Take Much For Gas Prices To Become Attractive Again; Natural Gas Demand To Peak For The Week Today As Arctic Air Dominates The Lower 48; Projected Realtime Inventories To Fall Below 3000 BCF This Morning


Click HERE For Full 30-Day Archive



Popular Charts, Tables, & Maps
Weekly Commentaries **NEW!***

These are a series of commentaries about broad topics and trends in the oil and natural gas sector. These will typically be published on Saturday or Sunday and will be publicly available. I hope you find them interesting and educational.


Sunday, March 31, 2024
Winter 2023-24 & The Natural Gas Sector: A Post Mortem

Sunday, March 10, 2024
It’s The Slow Knife That Cuts The Deepest: How Insidious Contango Can Smother The Natural Gas Trader & How To Avoid It

Sunday, March 3, 2024
Paradoxical? An Analysis Of Seasonal Trends In The Natural Gas Sector
Intraday Natural Gas Storage Change

Realtime Natural Gas Inventories

Advanced Model Page

The Advanced Modeling Page integrates data from multiple models to generate gas-weighted degree day (GWDD) forecasts for the next 44 days and is available to subscribers. Click HERE to learn more about subscribing.

Celsius Energy's Portfolio Holdings
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Intraday Temperature Data


Disclaimer: Natural Gas & Oil Storage Projections, Intraday Natural Gas Stats, Renewable Energy Stats, Morning Reports, and fundamental pricing models are released by Celsius Energy as experimental products. While they are intended to provide accurate, up-to-date data, they should not be used alone in making investment decisions, or decisions of any kind. Celsius Energy does not make an express or implied warranty of any kind regarding the data information including, without limitation, any warranty of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use. See full Privacy Policy HERE.