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Friday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Sell-The-News: Natural Gas Snaps Winning Streak At Seven As Investors Take Profits Despite Bullish EIA Storage Report After Near-Term Models Moderate Some; Gas Prices Still Undervalued & Upside Potential Outweighs Downside Risk At These Levels; Natural Gas Demand To Begin Multi-Day Pullback Today At Temperatures Warm, But Bullish Daily Storage Withdrawals Expected Into Next Week
Friday, February 21, 2025
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In its weekly Natural Gas Storage Report for February 8-14, the EIA announced Thursday morning that natural gas inventories fell by -196 BCF. This was 51 BCF bullish versus the 5-year average and was 13 BCF larger than my projection. On a temperature-adjusted basis, this was a nearly neutral 0.1 BCF/day tight versus the 5-year average, meaning that essentially the entirety of the bullishness of the withdrawal was driven by colder-than-normal temperatures. With the draw, natural gas inventories fell to 2101 BCF while the deficit versus the 5-year average widened to -118 BCF. The year-over-year deficit surged to -386 BCF. Storage levels are at their second lowest level in the last 5 years, albeit well above 2022 levels as shown in the Figure to the right.
Unsurprisingly, all five storage regions registered bullish withdrawals that were relatively well distributed across the Regions. The Midwest saw the single largest and most bullish withdrawal at -65 BCF, 15 BCF larger than the...
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Disclaimer: Natural Gas & Oil Storage Projections, Intraday Natural Gas Stats, Renewable Energy Stats, Morning Reports, and fundamental pricing models are released by Celsius Energy as experimental products. While they are intended to provide accurate, up-to-date data, they should not be used alone in making investment decisions, or decisions of any kind. Celsius Energy does not make an express or implied warranty of any kind regarding the data information including, without limitation, any warranty of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use. See full Privacy Policy HERE.
