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As Celsius Energy continues to grow, costs and the time commitment to keep the site maintained build rapidly. For this reason, I am offering premium features for a small monthly fee to help support the site. These include:
-Daily Commentaries, a 1000-1500 word 5x per week discussion of natural gas fundamentals, trading outlook and strategies
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Thursday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Extends Losses As Investors Wait For Colder Air To Show Up; Oil Prices Fall To 5-Month Lows; EIA Expected To Announce Neutral +78 BCF Natural Gas Storage Injection But Very Bearish +7.4 MMbbl Crude Oil Inventory Build In Today’s Twin Storage Reports; Gas Demand To Rise Slightly Today As Cooler Air Settles Into The Northeast
Thursday, October 16, 2025
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.
Natural gas prices fell for the fifth time in six sessions on Wednesday to a fresh 3-week low. The front-month November 2025 contract dropped by 1 cent or -0.4% to settle at $3.02/MMBTU, the lowest close since September 25. Among ETFs, 1x UNG shed -0.6% while 2x BOIL fell -1.9%. Losses on Wednesday were concentrated in the Winter futures contracts—December-February—which explains BOIL’s underperformance as it holds exclusively January 2026 contracts. Meanwhile, UNG began its monthly rollover, selling November contracts and buying December contracts. As of Wednesday evening, the fund held 22% December contracts and 78% November contracts, as shown in the Figure to the right. UNG will complete the rollover next Monday. As with BOIL last week, this will be a bearish rollover long-term due to a more than 20% contango between the November and December contracts, effectively forcing the fund to sell low and buy high.
Little has changed regarding investor sentiment. Prices continue t...
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Disclaimer: Natural Gas & Oil Storage Projections, Intraday Natural Gas Stats, Renewable Energy Stats, Morning Reports, and fundamental pricing models are released by Celsius Energy as experimental products. While they are intended to provide accurate, up-to-date data, they should not be used alone in making investment decisions, or decisions of any kind. Celsius Energy does not make an express or implied warranty of any kind regarding the data information including, without limitation, any warranty of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use. See full Privacy Policy HERE.
