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Friday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Seventh Heaven: Gas Prices Notch Another Small Gain After So-So EIA Natural Gas Storage Report; Despite Improving Temperatures & Supply/Demand Imbalances, Natural Gas Overvaluation Widens; Gas Demand To Rise Slightly Today As Late-Season Heat Builds Across The South, But Another Bearish Weekly Injection Still Likely
Friday, September 5, 2025
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In its weekly Natural Gas Storage Report for August 23-29, the EIA announced Thursday morning that inventories rose by +55 BCF. This was 19 BCF bearish versus the 5-year average but was 4 BCF smaller than my +59 BCF projection. On a temperature-adjusted basis, the injection averaged 1.8 BCF/day or nearly 13 BCF/week tight versus the 5-year average, similar to last week. This means that weather alone would have likely driven an injection in excess of +66 BCF—or 32 BCF bearish versus the 5-year average—were it not partially countered by supportive fundamentals. With the injection, natural gas inventories rose to 3272 BCF while the surplus versus the 5-year average widened to +173 BCF. The year-over-year deficit narrowed to just -73 BCF. As shown in the Figure to the right, inventories remain at the third highest level in the past 5 years, between 2024 and 2023, where they have been since early May.
Three out of the five storage regions registered bearish injections. The East Reg...
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Disclaimer: Natural Gas & Oil Storage Projections, Intraday Natural Gas Stats, Renewable Energy Stats, Morning Reports, and fundamental pricing models are released by Celsius Energy as experimental products. While they are intended to provide accurate, up-to-date data, they should not be used alone in making investment decisions, or decisions of any kind. Celsius Energy does not make an express or implied warranty of any kind regarding the data information including, without limitation, any warranty of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use. See full Privacy Policy HERE.
