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Friday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Records Another Small Gain After In-Line EIA Storage Injection; Gas Prices Likely Nearing Price Floor As Focus Turns From Weather To Production & Exports Over The Next Month; Gas Demand To Rise Slightly Today As Heat Builds Across The Heartland; Slightly Bullish Storage Injections Currently Projected For Each Of The Next Two Weeks
Friday, August 15, 2025
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In its weekly Natural Gas Storage Report for August 2-8, the EIA announced Thursday morning that inventories rose by +56 BCF. This was a slight 3 BCF smaller than my +59 BCF projection but was still 23 BCF bearish versus the 5-year average. On a temperature-adjusted basis, supply/demand imbalances weakened from the previous week with the imbalance versus the 5-year average coming in at -0.5 BCF/day or 3.5 BCF/week loose, or bearish, versus the 5-year average. This means that the majority of the week’s bearishness was due to cooler temperatures rather than fundamentals. With the injection, natural gas inventories rose to 3186 BCF while the surplus versus the 5-year average widened to +196 BCF. The year-over-year imbalance tumbled to just -79 BCF. As shown in the Figure to the right, natural gas inventories remain at the third highest level for the week in the last 5 years, below only 2020 and last year.
Four out of the five storage regions registered bearish weekly injections, w...
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